Boris Johnson faces a furious Tory backlash today as he unveils a manifesto-busting £10billion tax raid to bail out the NHS and ‘fix’ social care – despite warnings that he will alienate his voters and fuel ‘fringe parties’.
As he prepares to push the plans through a restive Cabinet this morning, before giving the details to the Commons and holding a press conference, the PM insisted he ‘will not duck the tough decisions’.
He will try to quell anger by saying that over the next few years some of the money raised will go on getting the NHS back on its feet following the pandemic.
But Conservative former leaders Lord Hague and Iain Duncan Smith have joined a welter a criticism, saying that the public will not forget the ‘defining moment’ of the 2019 manifesto being effectively torn up.
Mr Duncan Smith said the policy, key details of which are still unclear, looked like a ‘sham’ that will not fix the problems with social care.
Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi squirmed as he was challenged on the proposals in a round of interviews this morning, admitting he is not ‘comfortable’ with the idea of flouting manifesto commitments.
The government is expected to say that national insurance will be hiked on 25million workers and millions of firms, in a move that will cost employees on £30,000 a year an extra £255 a year in tax.
Mr Johnson warned last night the NHS ‘cannot recover’ from the pandemic without a massive cash injection, and he said it was time to end the scandal of pensioners having to sell their homes to fund care in later life.
The tax rise of 1.25 percentage points shatters his solemn 2019 election vow not to raise national insurance.
In a second move, ministers will also break their manifesto pledge to keep the state pension ‘triple lock’. It will be suspended for a year, with pensioners given 2.5 per cent, rather than the 8 per cent rise they would have received – costing them £4 a week.
Mr Johnson said the ‘enormous strain’ placed on the NHS by the pandemic, coupled with the ‘broken’ care system, meant he could not ‘duck the tough decisions’.
Downing Street has dubbed as ‘unfair and often catastrophic’ the situation where someone who has dementia may have to pay for their care in full, while someone cared for by the NHS would receive care for free.
It said one in seven people now pays more than £100,000 for their care, and said the system can lead to ‘spiralling costs and the complete liquidation of someone’s assets’.
Under current arrangements, anyone with assets over £23,350 pays for their care in full, but No 10 said the costs were ‘catastrophic and often unpredictable’.
Boris Johnson went out for a run this morning as he prepares to unveil his plan to hike National Insurance later
Conservative former leaders Lord Hague (left) and Iain Duncan Smith (right) have joined a welter a criticism, saying that the public will not forget the ‘defining moment’ of the 2019 manifesto being effectively torn up
Cash will be poured into the NHS to allow it to operate at 110 per cent of capacity to help it start clearing a waiting list that has soared to more than five million during the pandemic and is on course to hit 13million by the end of this year.
The NHS will also be ordered to undergo a major efficiency drive. Ministers hope the money will clear the waiting list backlog by the time of the next election.
The proceeds of the tax rise of 1.25 percentage points will then be used to fund a new cap of £80,000 on the cost of social care, reducing the risk that people will have to sell their homes to pay for help.
Assets below £100,000 will be protected from the state – a huge increase on the current system in which people have to fund all their care costs if they have assets of more than just £23,350.
Tory MPs and health experts have warned there was a danger that the entire sum will be swallowed by the NHS, leaving nothing for social care.
The concern is said to be shared by Chancellor Rishi Sunak, who has sought guarantees he will not be asked for more money for the sector in future.
However, Sally Warren, ex-director for social care at the Department of Health and now with the King’s Fund think tank, said there was still a ‘big worry’ the NHS will keep the funding.
She told The Telegraph: ‘We think this is going to take many, many years. There are lots of uncertainties, but it could take around five to seven years.
‘This is not something that will disappear in a year or two if the NHS just works faster – staff are already at risk of burnout.
‘Our big worry is if the NHS gets all or most of the money for the first three years, social care just can’t wait for that long. And is it realistic to think the NHS will simply hand back money which will be paying for more staff ? That is not realistic.’
It also emerged that the tax hike will be known as the ‘Health and Social Care Levy’ and will appear as a separate line on tax statements.
Ministers have agreed the levy will be ‘legally ringfenced’ to prevent it being siphoned off for other purposes by future governments.
Unlike normal national insurance, working pensioners will also pay the new levy to tackle complaints it places an unfair burden on the young.
The ‘median worker’ earning £24,000 a year will pay an extra £3.50 a week in tax, according to sources.
The Prime Minister last night insisted the package could resolve the crisis in both the NHS and social care. ‘The NHS is the pride of our United Kingdom, but it has been put under enormous strain by the pandemic. We cannot expect it to recover alone,’ he said.
‘We must act now to ensure the health and care system has the long-term funding it needs to continue fighting Covid and start tackling the backlogs, and end the injustice of catastrophic costs for social care.
‘My Government will not duck the tough decisions needed to get NHS patients the treatment they need and to fix our broken social care system.’
The tax rise will cost an extra £130 for a worker on £20,000 a year. A worker earning £40,000 will pay an extra £380, while someone with a salary of £60,000 will pay an additional £630.
It is likely to be introduced in April next year, with legislation coming this autumn.
Defending the proposals, Mr Zahawi told Sky News: ‘Successive governments have attempted to come forward with plans and have never quite delivered.
‘I think this Prime Minister is determined to actually fix the broken social care system.’
He added: ‘One in seven people pay over £100,000 for their social care.
‘If you have assets of over £23,350, then your social care costs can be absolutely backbreaking.
‘So, it has to be dealt with and this Prime Minister will not shirk that responsibility, and he will set out his plans today.’
However, the decision to raise national insurance has alarmed Cabinet ministers, with one branding it ‘idiotic’.
Downing Street is confident the PM will be able to face down any Cabinet revolt over the issue.
But ministers are braced for a battle with Tory MPs over the breaking of a manifesto pledge.
Mr Sunak last night appealed for unity as he warned Tory MPs: ‘It’s fair to say we’ve got a tough autumn ahead.’
Former Cabinet minister Jake Berry questioned why low earners in the North should pay more tax to help wealthier pensioners ‘keep hold of their homes’.
The chairman of the Northern Research Group of Tory MPs said: ‘It doesn’t really seem to me reasonable that people who are going to work in my own constituency in east Lancashire, probably on lower wages than many other areas of the country, will pay tax to support people to keep hold of their houses in other parts of the country where house prices may be much higher.’
He warned that national insurance was a ‘jobs tax’ that disproportionately hit the low paid.
The Chancellor fought for the increase in national insurance to be capped at one percentage point but was overruled by the PM.
Damian Green, who was de facto deputy PM under Theresa May, said it did not seem likely the NHS would give up money it had got used to in three years’ time.
The Mail has been campaigning to end the care costs scandal.
The PM’s plans will place a cap on the amount people have to pay for social care, expected to be between £50,000 and £80,000 (stock image used)
Homes they would have kept under scheme
Widow who lost her family haven
Nancy Griffiths, 55, has lived in Kingston, south-west London, for 33 years.
She and her daughter Tai, 13, became very close to their elderly neighbours David and Violet Edwards, pictured on their wedding day, regularly spending Christmas together.
David, who had worked for British Aerospace for many years, sadly developed dementia in 2016 and died two years later aged 92.
Violet had hoped to spend her final years in her marital home. However, because the couple had saved and lived frugally, David’s care had to be paid for privately at a cost of almost £2,000 a week.
After David’s death, Violet, 93, became very frail and was moved into a care home at an eyewatering cost of £65,000 per year.
Nancy Griffiths outside the home of her neighbours who she knew for 32 years in Kingston upon Thames, Surrey. They had to sell it to pay for care
David and Violet Edwards on their wedding day. They lived in their home for 33 years until David died in 2018 ages 92
Within four years, £300,000 of their hard-earned savings of about £400,000 had disappeared. Nancy, who had power of attorney, unfortunately had no option but to sell the Edwards’ house last year to pay for Violet’s care.
It had initially been on the market for £620,000 but – under pressure to sell – she was forced to accept a lower offer of £520,000.
‘David made everything in that house, from the conservatory to the fireplace – he even papered all the walls,’ said Nancy, pictured above. ‘It broke my heart to sell it.’
She added: ‘I fully support any changes to the law so that people don’t have to sell their home for social care. I think it’s completely wrong.
‘I’m not Violet’s daughter so I won’t be getting anything in the will, but I feel so sorry for people who expected to rely on money from their parents after they’ve died.’
For sale: Mum’s pride and joy
Barbara Brand-Cotti, 81, worked as an antiques and jewellery dealer. After meeting her husband Roland in London, they moved to Lincolnshire to pursue their dream of raising children in the countryside.
When their daughter Holly, now 44, was only seven, Roland died, and Barbara had to raise Holly and her two siblings alone.
Barbara was careful with money, and Holly remembers the whole family celebrating when she paid off the mortgage.
Barbara Brand-Cotti moved her family to the Lincolnshire countryside when her daughter Holly, now 44, was only seven
In 2017, Barbara (pictured, seated) had a stroke and the next year she was put into social care and daughter Holly (centre) has an outstanding debt of £100,000 for her mother’s care
‘That beautiful Lincolnshire cottage was her pride and joy, especially the garden,’ Holly said.
But in 2017, Barbara – pictured above with her family – had a stroke and the next year she was put into social care.
After disagreements with the nursing home over payments, including an attempt to evict Barbara during lockdown last year, the family turned to the Care Campaign for the Vulnerable organisation for legal advice, but eventually gave in and said they would sell the house on Barbara’s death.
‘It’s one of the biggest injustices in this country that at the end of your life, when you’ve paid into the system, you have to give up everything you’ve saved,’ she said.
‘That cottage meant the world to my mum and she wanted to be able to leave something to us. It just felt wrong to sell it. I felt like I had failed her. Boris Johnson was elected on a manifesto pledge to fix social care. Was that an empty promise?
‘These proposed changes can’t come soon enough.’